Mortality risk factors in patients who are in heart transplantation waiting list
https://doi.org/10.21886/2712-8156-2022-3-2-41-54
Abstract
Objective: to estimate the survival of patients in the heart transplantation waiting list (HTx WL) at Almazov National Medical Research Centre (V.A. Almazov NMRC), Saint-Petersburg, Russia, from 2010 to 2018 and to define factors for death among these patients.
Materials and methods: it was a single-centre retrospective study involving 151 patients with end-stage chronic heart failure (CHF) classes III-IV (NYHA) in the HTx WL.
Results: the dynamic of decreasing mortality was revealed. Based on the results of constructing the discriminant function, four factors predicting the survival of patients in the HTx WL, namely, ACE inhibitors/ARBs, beta-blockers, status 1 of UNOS, CHF NYHA class IV, were pointed out. The model has sufficient resolving power but is not capable of predicting the outcome in the presence of acute decompensation of CHF.
Conclusion: mortality in the HTx WL for the period 2010-2018 decreased that was associated with an active implementation of cardiac surgical methods as a «bridge» to transplant and optimal medical therapy, including ACE inhibitors/ARBs and beta-blockers in patients supported with inotropes (UNOS 1B). The greatest risk of mortality was found in CHF class IV and status 1 by UNOS.
About the Authors
P. A. FedotovRussian Federation
Petr A. Fedotov, Cand. Sci. (Med.), Head of the Research Institute of High-Tech Methods of Heart Failure Treatment, Associate Professor of the Department of Cardiology
Saint-Petersburg
M. A. Simonenko
Russian Federation
Mariya A. Simonenko, Researcher of the Cardiopulmonary Testing Institute, Cardiologist-transplantologist of the CDC
Saint-Petersburg
J. V. Sazonova
Russian Federation
Yuliya V. Sazonova, cardiologist-transplantologist of the Cardiology Department No. 8, junior researcher of the Research Institute of Thoracic Surgery
Saint-Petersburg
M. A. Bortsova
Russian Federation
Mariya A. Borcova, Head of Cardiology Department No. 8
Saint-Petersburg
A. N. Kostomarov
Russian Federation
Artyom N. Kostomarov, Junior Researcher of the Research Institute of High-Tech Methods of Treatment of Heart Failure, cardiologist of the Cardiology Department No. 6
Saint-Petersburg
M. A. Fedorova
Russian Federation
Mariya A. Fedorova, Junior Researcher of the Research Institute of High-Tech Methods of Treatment of Heart Failure, Cardiologist of the Cardiology Department No. 8
Saint-Petersburg
A. E. Bautin
Russian Federation
Andrej E. Bautin, Dr. Sci. (Med.), Associate Professor, Head of the Department of Anesthesiology and Resuscitation, Professor of the Department of Anesthesiology and Resuscitation
Saint-Petersburg
G. V. Nikolaev
Russian Federation
German V. Nikolaev, Cand. Sci. (Med.), Head of the Research Institute of Thoracic Surgery
Saint-Petersburg
M. L. Gordeev
Russian Federation
Mihail L. Gordeev, Dr. Sci. (Med.), Professor, Head of the Research Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Head of the Department of Surgical Diseases
Saint-Petersburg
M. A. Karpenko
Russian Federation
Mihail A. Karpenko, Chairman of the Scientific and Clinical Council, Head of the General Director for Scientific and Therapeutic Work, MD, Professor
Saint-Petersburg
T. M. Pervunina
Russian Federation
Tat’yana M. Pervunina, Dr. Sci. (Med.), Director of the Institute of Perinatology and Pediatrics
Saint-Petersburg
M. Y. Sitnikova
Russian Federation
Mariya Y. Sitnikova, Dr. Sci. (Med.), Professor, Chief Researcher and Head of the Heart Failure Research Institute, Professor of the Faculty Therapy Department
Saint-Petersburg
References
1. Министерство здравоохранения Российской Федерации. Клинические рекомендации «Хроническая сердечная недостаточность». 2020.
2. Ситникова М.Ю., Лясникова Е.А., Юрченко А.В., Трукшина М.А., Куулар А.А., Галенко В.Л., и др. Результаты 3 лет работы Российского госпитального регистра хронической сердечной недостаточности (RUssian hoSpital Heart Failure Registry – RUS-HFR): взаимосвязь менеджмента и исходов у больных хронической сердечной недостаточностью. Кардиология. 2018; 58(S10): 9-19. DOI: 10.18087/cardio.2483
3. Ponikowski P, Voors AA, Anker AD, Bueno H, Cleland JGF, Coats AJS et al. ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure 2016. European Heart Journal. 2016;37:2129-2200. DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehw128.
4. Lund LH, Edwards LB, Kucheryavaya AY, Dipchand AI, Benden C, Christie JD, et al. The Registry of the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation: Thirtieth Official Adult Heart Transplant Report--2013; focus theme: age. J Heart Lung Transplant. 2013;32(10):951-64. DOI: 10.1016/j.healun.2013.08.006.
5. Newsletter Transplant International figures on donation and transplantation 2016, 2017. 22(1):1-70. ISSN 2171-4118
6. NEWSLETTER TRANSPLANT International figures on donation and transplantation 2014. 2015; 20:1-64.
7. Trivedi JR, Schumer E, Black M, Massey HT, Cheng A, Slaughter MS. Risk Factors of Waiting List Mortality for Patients Awaiting Heart Transplant. The Journal of Heart and Lung Transplantation. 2016;35(4):S214. DOI: 10.1016/j.healun.2016.01.602.
8. Трансплантология: итоги и перспективы. Том IV. Под ред. Готье С.В. М. – Тверь: ООО «Издательство «Триада», 2013.
9. Трансплантология: итоги и перспективы. Том VIII. Под ред. Готье С.В. М. – Тверь: ООО «Издательство «Триада», 2017.
10. Khush K, Zaroff J, Nguyen J, Goldstein B. Longer waiting time increases mortality in heart transplantation: an instrumental variable analysis. J Heart Lung Transplant. 2015;34:S71. DOI: 10.1016/j.healun.2015.01.182.
11. Spinale FG, Ishihra K, Zile M, DeFryte G, Crawford FA, Carabello BA. Structural basis for changes in left ventricular function and geometry because of chronic mitral regurgitation and after correction of volume overload. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg 1993;106:1147–57. PMID: 8246553.
12. Asgar AW, Mack MJ, Stone GW. Secondary mitral regurgitation in heart failure: pathophysiology, prognosis, and therapeutic considerations. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2015;65(12):1231-1248. DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2015.02.009.
13. Trichon BH, Felker GM, Shaw LK, Cabell CH, O'Connor CM. Relation of frequency and severity of mitral regurgitation to survival among patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction and heart failure. Am J Cardiol. 2003;91(5):538–543. DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9149(02)03301-5.
14. Lund LH, Khush KK, Cherikh WS, Goldfarb S, Kucheryavaya AY, Levvey BJ, et al. The Registry of the International Society for Heart and Lung Transplantation: Thirty-fourth Adult Heart Transplantation Report-2017; Focus Theme: Allograft ischemic time. J Heart Lung Transplant. 2017;36(10):1037-1046. DOI: 10.1016/j.healun.2017.07.019.
15. Lietz K, Miller LW. Improved Survival of Patients With End-Stage Heart Failure Listed for Heart Transplantation. Analysis of Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network/U.S. United Network of Organ Sharing Data, 1990 to 2005. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2007;50:1282–90. DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2007.04.099.
16. Oh C, Chang HJ, Sung JM, Kim JY, Yang W, Shim J, et al. Prognostic Estimation of Advanced Heart Failure With Low Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction and Wide QRS Interval. Korean Circ J. 2012;42(10):659-67. DOI: 10.4070/kcj.2012.42.10.659.
17. Koseki Y, Watanabe J, Shinozaki T, Sakuma M, Komaru T, Fukuchi M, et al. Characteristics and 1-Year Prognosis of Medically Treated Patients With Chronic Heart Failure in Japan Chronic Heart Failure Analysis Registry in Tohoku District (CHART). Circulation Journal. 2003;67:431–436. DOI: 10.1253/circj.67.431.
18. Volpe M, Francia P, Tocci G, Rubattu S, Cangianiello S, Elena Rao MA, et al. Prediction of long-term survival in chronic heart failure by multiple biomarker assessment: a 15-year prospective follow-up study. Clin Cardiol. 2010;33(11):700-7. DOI: 10.1002/clc.20813.
19. Lee TH, Hamilton MA, Stevenson LW, Moriguchi JD, Fonarow GC, Child JS, et al. Impact of left ventricular cavity size on survival in advanced heart failure. Am J Cardiol. 1993;72(9):672-6. DOI: 10.1016/0002-9149(93)90883-e.
20. Gupta A, Sharma P, Bahl A. Left ventricular size as a predictor of outcome in patients of non-ischemic dilated cardiomyopathy with severe left ventricular systolic dysfunction. Int J Cardiol. 2016;221:310-3. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2016.07.090.
21. Abtahi DM, Kpaeyeh JA, Gold MR. Risk Stratification of Sudden Cardiac Death: A Multi-racial Perspective. Int J Heart Rhythm. 2016;1:24-32. DOI: 10.4103/2352-4197.191479.
22. Hsich EM, Rogers JG, McNamara DM, Taylor DO, Starling RC, Blackstone EH, et al. Does Survival on the Heart Transplant Waiting List Depend on the Underlying Heart Disease? JACC Heart Fail. 2016;4(9):689-97. DOI: 10.1016/j.jchf.2016.03.010.
23. Mehra MR, Canter CE, Hannan MM, Semigran MJ, Uber PA, Baran DA, et al. The 2016 International Society for Heart Lung Transplantation listing criteria for heart transplantation: A 10-year update. J Heart Lung Transplant. 2016;35(1):1-23. DOI: 10.1016/j.healun.2015.10.023.
24. Shindler DM, Kostis JB, Yusuf S, Quinones MA, Pitt B, Stewart D, et al. Diabetes mellitus, a predictor of morbidity and mortality in the Studies of Left Ventricular Dysfunction (SOLVD) Trials and Registry. Am J Cardiol. 1996;77(11):1017-20. DOI: 10.1016/s0002-9149(97)89163-1. PMID: 8644628.
25. Adams KF Jr, Fonarow GC, Emerman CL, LeJemtel TH, Costanzo MR, Abraham WT, et al. Characteristics and outcomes of patients hospitalized for heart failure in the United States: rationale, design, and preliminary observations from the first 100,000 cases in the Acute Decompensated Heart Failure National Registry (ADHERE). Am Heart J. 2005;149(2):209-16. DOI: 10.1016/j.ahj.2004.08.005.
26. Hawkins NM, Huang Z, Pieper KS, Solomon SD, Kober L, Velazquez EJ, et al. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is an independent predictor of death but not atherosclerotic events in patients with myocardial infarction: analysis of the Valsartan in Acute Myocardial Infarction Trial (VALIANT). Eur J Heart Fail. 2009;11(3):292-8. DOI: 10.1093/eurjhf/hfp001.
27. Mentz RJ, Schulte PJ, Fleg JL, Fiuzat M, Kraus WE, Piña IL, et al. Clinical characteristics, response to exercise training, and outcomes in patients with heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: findings from Heart Failure and A Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise TraiNing (HF-ACTION). Am Heart J. 2013;165(2):193-9. DOI: 10.1016/j.ahj.2012.10.029.
28. Ponikowski P, Voors AA, Anker SD, Bueno H, Cleland JGF, Coats AJS, et al. 2016 ESC Guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure: The Task Force for the diagnosis and treatment of acute and chronic heart failure of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC)Developed with the special contribution of the Heart Failure Association (HFA) of the ESC. Eur Heart J. 2016;37(27):2129-2200. DOI: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehw128.
29. Campana C, Alessandrino G, Striuli L, Agnesina L, Dequarti MC, Ghio S, et al. The tailored medical therapy in patients with advanced heart failure referred for cardiac transplantation. Transplant Proc. 2008;40(6):1999-2000. DOI: 10.1016/j.transproceed.2008.05.044.
30. Mebazaa A, Yilmaz MB, Levy P, Ponikowski P, Peacock WF, Laribi S, et al. Recommendations on pre-hospital & early hospital management of acute heart failure: a consensus paper from the Heart Failure Association of the European Society of Cardiology, the European Society of Emergency Medicine and the Society of Academic Emergency Medicine. Eur J Heart Fail. 2015;17(6):544-58. DOI: 10.1002/ejhf.289.
31. Прокопова Л.В., Ситникова М.Ю., Дорофейков В.В., Лелявина Т.А., Кашуба С.М. Место нерутинных биомаркеров СН-нФВ в оценке одногодичной выживаемости: куда ведет дорога от «доступного прогноза»? Журнал Сердечная Недостаточность. 2016;17(2):82-90. DOI: 10.18087/rhfj.2016.2.2193
32. Прокопова Л.В., Кашуба С.М., Галенко В.Л., Федотова П.А., Смирнов Б.И., Ситникова М.Ю. Роль простых клиниколабораторных показателей в одногодичном прогнозировании течения сн-нфв в эпоху высокотехнологичных методов помощи: исследование «доступный прогноз». Сердечная недостаточность. 2015;16(3):137-144. DOI: 10.18087/rhfj.2015.3.2088/
Supplementary files
Review
For citations:
Fedotov P.A., Simonenko M.A., Sazonova J.V., Bortsova M.A., Kostomarov A.N., Fedorova M.A., Bautin A.E., Nikolaev G.V., Gordeev M.L., Karpenko M.A., Pervunina T.M., Sitnikova M.Y. Mortality risk factors in patients who are in heart transplantation waiting list. South Russian Journal of Therapeutic Practice. 2022;3(2):41-54. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21886/2712-8156-2022-3-2-41-54